CDS Tampico Madero 3-2 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.64
Over 2.5
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
36%
-8.1pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.5pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 40%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
1.00/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.95
-21% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
232 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero edged past Leones Negros Udeg 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 33% / 39% — and on the day CDS Tampico Madero made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros Udeg?

CDS Tampico Madero 3-2 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CDS Tampico Madero 28%, draw 33%, Leones Negros Udeg 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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