CD Tapatio 2-0 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 20 Oct 2024

CD Tapatio
2-0 HT 2-0
Cancun FC
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

CD Tapatio vs Cancun FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.6pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CD Tapatio v Cancun FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-15% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.19/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.57
-25% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

CD Tapatio vs Cancun FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cancun FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
27.03.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
23.07.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
30.03.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
26.08.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
16.03.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
08.10.2021 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 1-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio saw off Cancun FC 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Tapatio as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CD Tapatio and 0.67 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Cancun FC?

CD Tapatio 2-0 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 46%, draw 30%, Cancun FC 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Tapatio), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Under 2.5
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