Cancun FC 1-1 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 27 Mar 2024

📅27/03/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.28/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.21
-18% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CD Tapatio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
23.07.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
30.03.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
26.08.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
16.03.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
08.10.2021 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 1-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
25.02.2021 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC and CD Tapatio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cancun FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cancun FC and 0.33 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs CD Tapatio?

Cancun FC 1-1 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 27/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 41%, draw 32%, CD Tapatio 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cancun FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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