Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Tepatitlán de Morelos — Team-Based Signals
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
0-3
HT 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
1-1
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
1-2
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
2-3
HT 1-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
2-0
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca squeezed past Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alebrijes de Oaxaca as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 2.17 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.
What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 27/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alebrijes de Oaxaca win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 48%, draw 29%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.