Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.2pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 24%
+19% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.24/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.84
+28% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +92%
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
0W-0D-3L
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
18.05.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 HT 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
06.04.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
20.10.2024 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 3-2 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg nicked a narrow win over CDS Tampico Madero 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CDS Tampico Madero led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 2.33 for CDS Tampico Madero.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 47%, draw 33%, CDS Tampico Madero 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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