CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.12/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.21
-32% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
06.04.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
20.10.2024 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 3-2 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero squeezed past Leones Negros Udeg 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CDS Tampico Madero as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CDS Tampico Madero had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for CDS Tampico Madero and 1.50 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros Udeg?

CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a CDS Tampico Madero win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CDS Tampico Madero 44%, draw 26%, Leones Negros Udeg 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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