Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 CDS Tampico Madero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 6 Apr 2025

Leones Negros Udeg
1-2 HT 0-0
CDS Tampico Madero
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Leones Negros Udeg vs CDS Tampico Madero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leones Negros Udeg v CDS Tampico Madero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.78/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.78
+21% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +67%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards –

Leones Negros Udeg vs CDS Tampico Madero Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
20.10.2024 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 3-2 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero nicked a narrow win over Leones Negros Udeg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Leones Negros Udeg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 46%, draw 23%, CDS Tampico Madero 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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