Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 Monarcas Morelia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -24%
1.94/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.97
+9% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.10.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
29.01.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 1-2 HT 0-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
24.07.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 4-0 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
08.03.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 1-2 HT 0-2 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
25.09.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 HT 2-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
13.01.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-2 HT 0-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas Morelia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas and Monarcas Morelia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Mineros de Zacatecas at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.00 for Monarcas Morelia.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas Morelia?

Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas Morelia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 48%, draw 23%, Monarcas Morelia 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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