Cancun FC 1-2 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
0.98/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.35
-41% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +9%
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CD Tapatio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
20.10.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 2-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
27.03.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
23.07.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
30.03.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
26.08.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
16.03.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio squeezed past Cancun FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cancun FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cancun FC and 0.67 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs CD Tapatio?

Cancun FC 1-2 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 50%, draw 22%, CD Tapatio 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cancun FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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