Tlaxcala 0-3 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 6 Apr 2025

Tlaxcala
0-3 HT 0-3
Celaya
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Tlaxcala vs Celaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+7.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tlaxcala v Celaya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.05/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.17
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
295 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tlaxcala vs Celaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Celaya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Celaya Celaya 1-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
30.03.2024 Celaya Celaya 1-1 HT 1-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
31.08.2023 Tlaxcala 1-2 HT 0-2 Celaya Celaya MEK2
04.03.2023 Celaya Celaya 1-1 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
18.08.2022 Tlaxcala 0-1 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
16.02.2022 Tlaxcala 0-1 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celaya cruised past Tlaxcala 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Celaya made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.17 for Celaya.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Celaya?

Tlaxcala 0-3 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 36%, draw 24%, Celaya 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celaya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celaya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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