Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
35%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
35%
Away Win
48%
-13.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 52%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.34/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.45
+16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -20%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Venados
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
19.10.2024 Venados Venados 4-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
01.02.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-3 HT 1-1 Venados Venados MEK2
16.10.2023 Venados Venados 4-1 HT 1-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
12.04.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-5 HT 0-2 Venados Venados MEK2
11.08.2022 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
30.03.2022 Venados Venados 2-1 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorados De Sinaloa got the better of Venados 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Dorados De Sinaloa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 3.17 for Venados.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs Venados?

Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorados De Sinaloa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 36%, draw 29%, Venados 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorados De Sinaloa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorados De Sinaloa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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