Venados 4-0 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
2.34/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.21
+25% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
01.02.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-3 HT 1-1 Venados Venados MEK2
16.10.2023 Venados Venados 4-1 HT 1-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
12.04.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-5 HT 0-2 Venados Venados MEK2
11.08.2022 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
30.03.2022 Venados Venados 2-1 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
28.10.2021 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
POST-MATCH Venados vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados ran out comfortable winners over Dorados De Sinaloa 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Venados as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Venados and 1.33 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Venados vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Venados 4-0 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Venados 58%, draw 24%, Dorados De Sinaloa 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venados) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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