Dorados De Sinaloa 2-3 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 1 Feb 2024

📅01/02/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
55%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
1.97
Over 2.5
63%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
55%
Away Win
50%
+5.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
47%
-9.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
53%
+9.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 55%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Venados
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.10.2023 Venados Venados 4-1 HT 1-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
12.04.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-5 HT 0-2 Venados Venados MEK2
11.08.2022 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
30.03.2022 Venados Venados 2-1 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
28.10.2021 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
21.02.2021 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados squeezed past Dorados De Sinaloa 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Venados as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 2.00 for Venados.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs Venados?

Dorados De Sinaloa 2-3 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 25%, draw 20%, Venados 55%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venados) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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