Atlante 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 1 Feb 2024

Atlante
1-2 HT 1-2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
📅01/02/2024 · 🕒02:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Atlante vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlante v Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.86/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.29
-3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.0

Atlante vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
01.11.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-3 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
06.01.2023 Atlante Atlante 4-0 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
15.09.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 HT 1-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
30.03.2022 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
27.10.2021 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
18.03.2021 Atlante Atlante 1-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca nicked a narrow win over Atlante 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Atlante carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atlante and 0.50 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Atlante 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Atlante 65%, draw 22%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 13%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Atlante), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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