Correcaminos UAT 3-1 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 1 Feb 2024

📅01/02/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.14/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.10
-18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cancun FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
06.08.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
26.01.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
12.08.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
02.03.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
11.08.2021 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
02.09.2020 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT saw off Cancun FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Correcaminos UAT made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 0.83 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Cancun FC?

Correcaminos UAT 3-1 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Correcaminos UAT win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 39%, draw 29%, Cancun FC 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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