Monarcas Morelia 1-2 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒03:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.38/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.53
-7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
24.07.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 4-0 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
08.03.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 1-2 HT 0-2 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
25.09.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 HT 2-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
13.01.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-2 HT 0-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
30.07.2021 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-2 HT 1-2 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
17.03.2021 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
POST-MATCH Monarcas Morelia vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas edged past Monarcas Morelia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Monarcas Morelia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 2.17 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Monarcas Morelia 1-2 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 45%, draw 23%, Mineros de Zacatecas 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
29 Jan 2024
00:30 Real Apodaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo Analysis →