Real Apodaca 2-0 Mineros de Fresnillo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.3
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
23%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
72%
-21.0pp
26%
Draw
17%
+8.6pp
23%
Away Win
10%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Apodaca EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Fresnillo EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
474 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Real Apodaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Apodaca got the better of Mineros de Fresnillo 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Apodaca as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Real Apodaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo?

Real Apodaca 2-0 Mineros de Fresnillo in the Mexico - Primera A on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Apodaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Apodaca win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Real Apodaca 51%, draw 26%, Mineros de Fresnillo 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Apodaca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Apodaca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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