Mineros de Zacatecas 4-1 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+1.5pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.6pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.75/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.89
-2% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tlaxcala
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.08.2025 Tlaxcala 1-1 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
09.02.2025 Tlaxcala 3-3 HT 0-3 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
24.08.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
11.04.2024 Tlaxcala 0-2 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
06.08.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 5-1 HT 2-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
18.01.2023 Tlaxcala 1-2 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
4-1
AWAY Tlaxcala
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas swept aside Tlaxcala 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mineros de Zacatecas as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mineros de Zacatecas had 50% of the ball to Tlaxcala's 50%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.00 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala?

Mineros de Zacatecas 4-1 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 57%, draw 18%, Tlaxcala 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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