Venados vs Irapuato Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venados v Irapuato — Team-Based Signals
Venados vs Irapuato Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Venados
MEK2
Venados 4-1 Irapuato — Actual Match Statistics
Venados swept aside Irapuato 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Venados as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Venados had 40% of the ball to Irapuato's 60%, shots finished 15-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Irapuato led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Venados and 2.50 for Irapuato.
What was the final score of Venados vs Irapuato?
Venados 4-1 Irapuato in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venados vs Irapuato?
Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Venados 43%, draw 28%, Irapuato 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.