CA La Paz 2-2 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
37%
3.45
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-8.1pp
38%
Draw
26%
+11.8pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.1pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.86/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.42
+36% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
04.08.2025 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 2-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
01.03.2025 CA La Paz CA La Paz 4-1 HT 2-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
15.09.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
02.02.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
07.08.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-2 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
30.01.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA La Paz
2-2
AWAY CD Tapatio
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz and CD Tapatio couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 38% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CA La Paz had 62% of the ball to CD Tapatio's 38%, shots finished 20-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Tapatio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CA La Paz and 1.33 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs CD Tapatio?

CA La Paz 2-2 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 33%, draw 38%, CD Tapatio 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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