CD Tapatio 2-0 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+6.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-3.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -6%
1.39/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.24
-16% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
390 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
01.03.2025 CA La Paz CA La Paz 4-1 HT 2-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
15.09.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
02.02.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
07.08.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-2 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
30.01.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
13.10.2022 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-2 HT 2-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio got the better of CA La Paz 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Tapatio as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA La Paz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.83 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs CA La Paz?

CD Tapatio 2-0 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 55%, draw 22%, CA La Paz 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Tapatio) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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