CD Tapatio 1-0 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 20%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +20%
2.15/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.13
+17% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
1W-1D-2L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
02.02.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
07.08.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-2 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
30.01.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
13.10.2022 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-2 HT 2-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio squeezed past CA La Paz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Tapatio as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CA La Paz led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.75 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs CA La Paz?

CD Tapatio 1-0 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 57%, draw 26%, CA La Paz 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Tapatio) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
15 Sep 2024
04:00 Celaya vs Mineros de Zacatecas Analysis →
06:00 CDS Tampico Madero vs Tlaxcala Analysis →