Celaya 2-0 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
20%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celaya EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
1.72/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.54
+10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celaya
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
04.04.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 HT 1-2 Celaya Celaya MEK2
20.09.2023 Celaya Celaya 2-3 HT 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
06.04.2023 Celaya Celaya 2-1 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
25.06.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
31.03.2022 Celaya Celaya 2-1 HT 2-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
27.10.2021 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-1 HT 2-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
POST-MATCH Celaya vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celaya beat Mineros de Zacatecas 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celaya as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Celaya and 1.83 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Celaya vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Celaya 2-0 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celaya vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Celaya 54%, draw 26%, Mineros de Zacatecas 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celaya), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celaya) ✓ BTTS No
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