Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+9.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.64/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.08
+22% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Celaya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
20.09.2023 Celaya Celaya 2-3 HT 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
06.04.2023 Celaya Celaya 2-1 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
25.06.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
31.03.2022 Celaya Celaya 2-1 HT 2-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
27.10.2021 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-1 HT 2-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
04.02.2021 Celaya Celaya 2-0 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas and Celaya shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Celaya at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.50 for Celaya.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Celaya?

Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 32%, draw 27%, Celaya 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celaya), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celaya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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