Venados 2-0 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 Apr 2024

Venados
2-0 HT 2-0
Cancun FC
📅04/04/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Venados vs Cancun FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.75
Over 2.5
29%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.76
No
63%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.7pp
71%
Under 2.5
53%
+17.5pp
29%
Over 2.5
47%
-17.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
53%
-16.0pp
63%
BTTS No
47%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venados v Cancun FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.51/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.27
+12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Venados vs Cancun FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cancun FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
20.11.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
17.11.2023 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
30.07.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
19.04.2023 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
31.08.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Venados Venados MEK2
09.03.2022 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
POST-MATCH Venados vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados beat Cancun FC 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Venados as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Venados and 1.00 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Venados vs Cancun FC?

Venados 2-0 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Venados 41%, draw 30%, Cancun FC 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venados) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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