CD Tapatio 0-2 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 25%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -1%
1.37/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.85
-22% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
1W-1D-1L
AWAY CA La Paz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
07.08.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-2 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
30.01.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
13.10.2022 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-2 HT 2-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz saw off CD Tapatio 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CD Tapatio at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.67 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs CA La Paz?

CD Tapatio 0-2 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 47%, draw 21%, CA La Paz 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Tapatio), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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