Mineros de Zacatecas 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -4%
1.66/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.19
+13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
02.10.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-2 HT 2-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
01.03.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-1 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
24.08.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-2 HT 2-2 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
05.02.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-3 HT 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
05.08.2021 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-1 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
29.03.2021 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg nicked a narrow win over Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Leones Negros Udeg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.67 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Mineros de Zacatecas 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 38%, draw 26%, Leones Negros Udeg 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✗ BTTS Yes
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