CA La Paz 4-1 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
36%
-8.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.70/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/1.19
+33% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
2W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
15.09.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
02.02.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
07.08.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-2 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
30.01.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
13.10.2022 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-2 HT 2-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz ran out comfortable winners over CD Tapatio 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was CD Tapatio at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for CA La Paz and 1.40 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs CD Tapatio?

CA La Paz 4-1 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 28%, draw 29%, CD Tapatio 43%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Tapatio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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