Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros Udeg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v Leones Negros Udeg — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros Udeg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
0-1
HT 0-1
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
1-1
HT 0-1
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
3-0
HT 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos and Leones Negros Udeg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Leones Negros Udeg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.50 for Leones Negros Udeg.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros Udeg?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros Udeg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 35%, draw 23%, Leones Negros Udeg 41%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.