Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-1 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.07
Over 2.5
63%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-7.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+7.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.60/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.71
+7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
13.09.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-3 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
07.02.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
30.08.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 7-0 HT 3-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
25.02.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
27.07.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
13.04.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT squeezed past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alebrijes de Oaxaca at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.33 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-1 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alebrijes de Oaxaca win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 42%, draw 28%, Correcaminos UAT 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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