Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.72/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.34
+40% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
30.08.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 7-0 HT 3-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
25.02.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
27.07.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
13.04.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
04.11.2021 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
25.02.2021 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 HT 2-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca nicked a narrow win over Correcaminos UAT 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Correcaminos UAT at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.67 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated an Correcaminos UAT win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 32%, draw 24%, Correcaminos UAT 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) ✗ BTTS Yes
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