Celaya 3-1 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒02:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.33
Over 2.5
45%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.95
No
63%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-9.8pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.5pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
39%
+15.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
61%
-15.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.9pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celaya EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
2.00/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.44
+6% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -30%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
488 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celaya
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
26.10.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-4 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
09.02.2023 Celaya Celaya 4-2 HT 1-2 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
03.08.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
23.03.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-2 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
03.11.2021 Celaya Celaya 2-2 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
18.03.2021 Celaya Celaya 2-2 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
POST-MATCH Celaya vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celaya saw off Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celaya as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Celaya and 1.17 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Celaya vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Celaya 3-1 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celaya vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Celaya 62%, draw 23%, Dorados De Sinaloa 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celaya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celaya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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