Correcaminos UAT 1-3 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 13 Sep 2024

Correcaminos UAT
1-3 HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Correcaminos UAT vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
18%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
52%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-5.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Correcaminos UAT v Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
1.77/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.47
+4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.1

Correcaminos UAT vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
07.02.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
30.08.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 7-0 HT 3-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
25.02.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
27.07.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
13.04.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
04.11.2021 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca beat Correcaminos UAT 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Correcaminos UAT carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.33 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Correcaminos UAT 1-3 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Correcaminos UAT win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 56%, draw 26%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 18%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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