Irapuato 4-1 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irapuato EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.02/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.17
-32% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irapuato
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Venados
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
03.08.2014 Irapuato Irapuato 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
POST-MATCH Irapuato vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irapuato swept aside Venados 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Irapuato found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Irapuato vs Venados?

Irapuato 4-1 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irapuato vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irapuato win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Irapuato 39%, draw 30%, Venados 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irapuato), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Irapuato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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