Correcaminos UAT 1-1 Monarcas Morelia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+9.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
31%
Away Win
43%
-12.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -26%
1.68/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.66
+44% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
30.03.2025 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 3-2 HT 2-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
11.10.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 3-0 HT 1-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
21.02.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 3-1 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
14.08.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
15.02.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-1 HT 1-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
05.08.2022 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 1-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Monarcas Morelia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT and Monarcas Morelia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.33 for Monarcas Morelia.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Monarcas Morelia?

Correcaminos UAT 1-1 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Monarcas Morelia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Correcaminos UAT win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 39%, draw 30%, Monarcas Morelia 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Correcaminos UAT), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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