Correcaminos UAT 3-0 Monarcas Morelia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.75
Over 2.5
55%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
53%
-8.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
47%
+8.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.3pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.50/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.38
+32% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 3-1 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
14.08.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
15.02.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-1 HT 1-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
05.08.2022 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 1-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
09.02.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-1 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
27.08.2021 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-1 HT 1-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Monarcas Morelia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT ran out comfortable winners over Monarcas Morelia 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Monarcas Morelia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.33 for Monarcas Morelia.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Monarcas Morelia?

Correcaminos UAT 3-0 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Monarcas Morelia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 32%, draw 27%, Monarcas Morelia 41%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Monarcas Morelia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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