Mjondalen 0-1 Notodden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
7.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Notodden EU Bookmakers 31%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.65
+109% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
363 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjondalen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Notodden
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.06.2026 Notodden Notodden 1-2 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR3
01.08.2021 Notodden Notodden 0-3 HT 0-2 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOK
18.01.2019 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-1 HT 2-0 Notodden Notodden HAZ
02.09.2018 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-1 HT 0-1 Notodden Notodden NOR1
03.07.2018 Notodden Notodden 1-0 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
09.09.2012 Notodden Notodden 0-2 HT 0-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
POST-MATCH Mjondalen vs Notodden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notodden nicked a narrow win over Mjondalen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mjondalen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjondalen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mjondalen and 0.67 for Notodden.

What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Notodden?

Mjondalen 0-1 Notodden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Notodden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjondalen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 43%, draw 28%, Notodden 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mjondalen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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