Hubei Istar 1-1 Hainan Star — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hubei Istar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +61% / +61%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hubei Istar
1-1
AWAY Hainan Star
1.47 xG 0.81
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
378 Passes 101
83% Pass Accuracy 57%
18 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hubei Istar vs Hainan Star
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hubei Istar and Hainan Star shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hubei Istar had 71% of the ball to Hainan Star's 29%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.47 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Hubei Istar vs Hainan Star?

Hubei Istar 1-1 Hainan Star in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hubei Istar vs Hainan Star?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hubei Istar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hubei Istar 38%, draw 28%, Hainan Star 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hubei Istar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hubei Istar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
1 Sep 2024
11:00 BIT Beijing vs Guangxi Lanhang Analysis →
12:00 Guangxi Hengchen vs Langfang Glory City Analysis →
12:00 Yichun Grand Tiger vs Xian Ronghai Analysis →
14:00 Liaoning Shenyang vs Dalian Zhixing Analysis →
14:30 Wuxi Wugou vs Yunnan Yukun Analysis →
14:30 Guangzhou Evergrande vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Analysis →