Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 1 Sep 2024

Kilmarnock
1-1 HT 0-0
Hibernian
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Kilmarnock vs Hibernian Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.66
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
14%
5.42
X/2
13%
5.76
X/X
12%
4.21
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
17%
4.0
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kilmarnock v Hibernian — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.36/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.05
+2% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 67%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
24.9 Crosses 21.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Kilmarnock vs Hibernian Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hibernian
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.86 xG 1.35
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
223 Passes 355
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-2 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
11.11.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
16.09.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-2 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
18.02.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
12.11.2022 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
03.09.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP

Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
1-1
AWAY Hibernian
2.54 xG 0.44
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
221 Passes 188
65% Pass Accuracy 61%
21 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock and Hibernian couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 52% of the ball to Hibernian's 48%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.54 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.33 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Hibernian?

Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 37%, draw 26%, Hibernian 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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