Kilmarnock 2-2 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.93
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
11%
4.54
X/2
14%
6.69
X/X
12%
4.35
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
12%
5.06
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.34/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.96
+3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
239 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 63%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
23.2 Crosses 19.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hibernian
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.69 xG 1.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
235 Passes 353
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
16.09.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-2 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
18.02.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
12.11.2022 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
03.09.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
15.08.2021 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
2-2
AWAY Hibernian
1.69 xG 1.57
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
167 Passes 363
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock and Hibernian shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kilmarnock at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 36% of the ball to Hibernian's 64%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.69 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.33 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Hibernian?

Kilmarnock 2-2 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 42%, draw 27%, Hibernian 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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