St. Mirren 0-1 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.95
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 28% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
17.65
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
9%
25.5
X/1
5%
19.85
X/2
20%
3.21
X/X
9%
6.56
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
27%
1.53
2/X
6%
24.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+10.8pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.3pp
55%
Away Win
71%
-16.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.50/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.65
-43% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +12%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
224 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 81%
10.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.4
14.5 Crosses 24.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Rangers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.40 xG 2.30
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
156 Passes 560
64% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2023 Rangers Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
08.10.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
27.05.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
15.04.2023 Rangers Rangers 5-2 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
12.11.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-1 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
08.10.2022 Rangers Rangers 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
0-1
AWAY Rangers
0.61 xG 1.34
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
170 Passes 364
59% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers squeezed past St. Mirren 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rangers as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, St. Mirren had 38% of the ball to Rangers's 62%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.61 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for St. Mirren and 3.00 for Rangers.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Rangers?

St. Mirren 0-1 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 21%, draw 24%, Rangers 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rangers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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