St. Johnstone 1-1 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.83
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.71
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.88
X/2
14%
5.77
X/X
16%
3.38
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
13%
4.69
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
0.86/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.25
-32% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 68%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.1 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Motherwell
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
225 Passes 273
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
07.11.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-2 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
13.05.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-2 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
01.02.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 0-2 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
12.11.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
06.08.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
1-1
AWAY Motherwell
0.82 xG 0.87
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 6
244 Passes 324
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
9 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone and Motherwell shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 42% of the ball to Motherwell's 58%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.82 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.17 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Motherwell?

St. Johnstone 1-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 34%, draw 30%, Motherwell 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Motherwell), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motherwell) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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