Livingston 1-4 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.67
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.87
1/2
10%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
14%
5.26
X/2
15%
5.43
X/X
16%
3.81
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
9%
4.05
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.23/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.88
-15% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
234 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 71%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
16.9 Crosses 19.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.25 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
257 Passes 233
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
28.10.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-2 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
15.05.2022 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
26.02.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-4 HT 0-3 Livingston Livingston İKP
18.01.2022 Livingston Livingston 2-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
11.09.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
1-4
AWAY Dundee FC
2.22 xG 1.11
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
359 Passes 167
74% Pass Accuracy 57%
29 Box Touches 19
36 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC swept aside Livingston 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Dundee FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Livingston had 63% of the ball to Dundee FC's 37%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.22 to 1.11 — on chances, Livingston could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Livingston and 0.67 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Dundee FC?

Livingston 1-4 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Livingston 35%, draw 32%, Dundee FC 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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