St Patricks 4-1 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.65 — our 24% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.38
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
22%
4.05
X/2
9%
8.41
X/X
9%
4.85
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
11%
6.57
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -21%
1.58/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.25
+12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
20.4 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.51 xG 1.08
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 Passes 173
75% Pass Accuracy 62%
20 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.06.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
03.05.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
29.03.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
25.09.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 1-2 HT 1-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
09.06.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
12.05.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
4-1
AWAY Drogheda United
2.56 xG 1.17
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 4
15 Corners 3
383 Passes 120
84% Pass Accuracy 61%
35 Box Touches 15
38 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks swept aside Drogheda United 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, St Patricks had 70% of the ball to Drogheda United's 30%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 2.56 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St Patricks and 0.67 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Drogheda United?

St Patricks 4-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 49%, draw 25%, Drogheda United 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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