St Patricks 1-0 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.44
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.75
X/1
12%
4.18
X/2
7%
8.45
X/X
12%
4.57
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
10%
6.58
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.40/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.23
-12% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.4 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.54 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 Passes 210
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
25.09.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 1-2 HT 1-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
09.06.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
12.05.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
10.04.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-3 HT 1-2 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
09.09.2022 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-2 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
1-0
AWAY Drogheda United
2.44 xG 1.71
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
301 Passes 169
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
25 Box Touches 28
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks edged past Drogheda United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, St Patricks had 59% of the ball to Drogheda United's 41%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 2.44 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St Patricks and 0.83 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Drogheda United?

St Patricks 1-0 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 44%, draw 30%, Drogheda United 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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