Bohemians 1-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 3 May 2024

Bohemians
1-1 HT 1-1
Shamrock Rovers
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2024

Bohemians vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 31% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.31
1/2
9%
24.85
1/X
5%
15.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
9.26
X/2
12%
4.02
X/X
15%
4.72
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.27
2/X
6%
14.3
Value flag · X/1 at 9.26 — our 18% vs market 7.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+11.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
+14% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
0.86/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.59
+58% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +51%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
191 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 76%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
16.5 Crosses 18.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Bohemians vs Shamrock Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.72 xG 1.11
42% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
230 Passes 350
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
01.09.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
23.06.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
05.05.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
07.04.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
02.09.2022 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL

Bohemians 1-1 Shamrock Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
1-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.91 xG 1.64
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 9
136 Passes 321
53% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 43
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians and Shamrock Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shamrock Rovers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bohemians had 36% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 64%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.91 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bohemians and 2.00 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Shamrock Rovers?

Bohemians 1-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 33%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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