Shamrock Rovers 3-1 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 29% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.85
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.1
X/1
19%
3.63
X/2
8%
12.6
X/X
14%
5.6
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
9%
10.3
2/X
5%
18.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
1.45/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.16
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 174 · 61%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
24.1 Crosses 18.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bohemians
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.10 xG 0.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
350 Passes 227
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
23.06.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
05.05.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
07.04.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
02.09.2022 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
24.06.2022 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
3-1
AWAY Bohemians
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers saw off Bohemians 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 62% of the ball to Bohemians's 38%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.50 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?

Shamrock Rovers 3-1 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 49%, draw 27%, Bohemians 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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