Shelbourne 2-1 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.66
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.44
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
18%
3.86
X/2
11%
8.51
X/X
13%
4.18
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
10%
7.33
2/X
8%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -21%
0.93/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.13
-21% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 66%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
10.5 Crosses 22.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Dundalk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.79 xG 1.30
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
202 Passes 426
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 23
8 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
06.08.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
21.04.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
06.03.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 2-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
02.09.2022 Dundalk Dundalk 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
24.06.2022 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
2-1
AWAY Dundalk
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne squeezed past Dundalk 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shelbourne had 47% of the ball to Dundalk's 53%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shelbourne and 0.67 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Dundalk?

Shelbourne 2-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 46%, draw 27%, Dundalk 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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