Derry City vs Galway United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Galway United — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Galway United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Derry City
İRL
2-1
HT 2-1
Galway United
İRL
0-0
HT 0-0
Derry City
İRL
2-0
HT 1-0
Derry City
İRLK
0-0
HT 0-0
Galway United
İRL
0-0
HT 0-0
Derry City
İRL
Derry City 0-1 Galway United — Actual Match Statistics
Galway United squeezed past Derry City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Derry City had 68% of the ball to Galway United's 32%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.68 to 0.64.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Derry City and 0.83 for Galway United.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Galway United?
Derry City 0-1 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Galway United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Derry City 51%, draw 29%, Galway United 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Derry City) went the other way.