Galway United 0-0 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.85
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.67
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
14%
5.87
X/2
20%
4.68
X/X
10%
3.93
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.41
2/X
9%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
0.76/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.87
-36% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
17.0 Crosses 17.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Derry City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.64 xG 0.68
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
112 Passes 351
51% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 17
7 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2024 Derry City Derry City 0-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
15.09.2017 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 1-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
02.06.2017 Derry City Derry City 2-1 HT 2-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
08.05.2017 Galway United Galway United 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
17.04.2017 Galway United Galway United 2-0 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRLK
02.09.2016 Derry City Derry City 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
0-0
AWAY Derry City
0.45 xG 0.35
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
137 Passes 423
57% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 25
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Derry City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United and Derry City fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Galway United had 31% of the ball to Derry City's 69%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.45 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Galway United and 0.50 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Derry City?

Galway United 0-0 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Galway United 31%, draw 26%, Derry City 43%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Derry City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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